Prime energy source·closes in 76mo

What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?

YES means Wind

24h volume
0
9,176 lifetime
Open interest
4,532
+0 over 7d
Spread
175 × 1,796 at the touch
24h range
3 recent trades
Chance of YES
3%

A YES contract costs and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
97%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
/
NO bid / ask
97¢ / 99¢
Recent buying98% YES · 2% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢5¢10¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask31253¢
  • ask145¢
  • ask2,06237¢
  • ask200
  • ask31
  • ask661
  • ask1.03
  • ask1,796
spreadmid
  • bid175
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Wind is the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

opened
Jun 27, 2025 · 8:45 PM UTC
closes
Dec 30, 2032 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXPRIMEENGCONSUMPTION-30-WIND
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 106¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 3 trades, 98% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
11d ago17bought yes
1mo ago1bought no
2mo ago31bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.