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Chicago Football Relocation·closes in 24mo

Will the Chicago Pro Football Team not relocate/announce a relocation by the first game of the 2028 Pro Football regular season?

YES means Do not relocate or announce a relocation

24h volume
284
166.7k lifetime
Open interest
73.6k
+289 over 7d
Spread
5¢
7 × 28 at the touch
24h range
3¢ – 14¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
3%−9

A YES contract costs 11¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
97%

costs 94¢

YES bid / ask
6¢ / 11¢
NO bid / ask
89¢ / 94¢
24h low 3¢24h high 14¢
Recent buying85% YES · 15% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢15¢20¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask8224¢
  • ask121¢
  • ask20720¢
  • ask1618¢
  • ask9015¢
  • ask37014¢
  • ask17412¢
  • ask2811¢
spread5¢mid 9¢
  • bid76¢
  • bid35¢
  • bid4004¢
  • bid6903¢
  • bid1862¢
  • bid14.3k1¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the Chicago Pro Football Team stay and do not relocate/announce a relocation by the first game of the 2028 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the Chicago Pro Football Team do not relocate or officially confirm they will relocate their primary home stadium by the 2028 regular season all markets related to this relocation will resolve to No and the "do not relocate/announce a relocation" market will resolve to Yes. If they announce they will relocate but still play their home games at their current location for the 2028 season the market for the relocation location will resolve Yes and "do not relocate/announce a relocation" will resolve No. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Feb 26 · 4:35 PM UTC
closes
Sep 7, 2028 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 7, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXRELOCATIONCHI-28-REMAIN
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 94¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 85% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
8h ago3¢117bought no
10h ago3¢67bought no
18h ago4¢100bought no
2d ago12¢0.94bought yes
2d ago12¢13bought yes
2d ago12¢62bought yes
3d ago9¢60bought yes
3d ago10¢100bought yes
3d ago14¢1.21bought yes
3d ago9¢50bought yes
3d ago9¢155bought yes
3d ago8¢136bought yes
3d ago10¢22bought yes
3d ago8¢114bought yes
3d ago8¢3bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.