Rivian KPI·closes in 19mo

Will Rivian Automotive Inc. report Above 52000 total vehicles delivered in 2026?

YES means Above 52000

24h volume
32
13.9k lifetime
Open interest
2,430
+3 over 7d
Spread
200 × 63 at the touch
24h range
87¢ – 92¢
Chance of YES
88%4

A YES contract costs 90¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
12%

costs 12¢

YES bid / ask
88¢ / 90¢
NO bid / ask
10¢ / 12¢
24h low 87¢24h high 92¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

50¢75¢100¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Rivian Automotive Inc. reports Above 52000 total vehicles delivered in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 23 · 3:13 PM UTC
closes
Mar 31, 2028 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 31, 2028 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
52000
ticker
KXRIVNA-28JANDELIV-52000
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.