Rivian KPI·closes in 19mo

Will Rivian Automotive Inc. report Above 54000 total vehicles delivered in fiscal 2026?

YES means Above 54000

24h volume
0
400 lifetime
Open interest
400
+0 over 7d
Spread
5 × 400 at the touch
24h range
2 recent trades
Chance of YES
84%

A YES contract costs 93¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
16%

costs 15¢

YES bid / ask
85¢ / 93¢
NO bid / ask
/ 15¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

25¢50¢75¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask20094¢
  • ask40093¢
spreadmid 89¢
  • bid585¢
  • bid20084¢
  • bid49124¢
  • bid1,00023¢
  • bid50015¢
  • bid53
  • bid1,000
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Rivian Automotive Inc. reports Above 54000 total vehicles delivered in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 21 · 11:28 PM UTC
closes
Mar 31, 2028 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 31, 2028 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
54000
ticker
KXRIVNA-28JANDELIV-54000
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 2 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2mo ago84¢200bought yes
2mo ago80¢200bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.