Rivian KPI·closes in 19mo

Will Rivian Automotive Inc. report Above 60000 total vehicles delivered in fiscal 2026?

YES means Above 60000

24h volume
0
1,169 lifetime
Open interest
950
+0 over 24h
Spread
5 × 200 at the touch
24h range
26 recent trades
Chance of YES
78%

A YES contract costs 86¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
22%

costs 23¢

YES bid / ask
77¢ / 86¢
NO bid / ask
14¢ / 23¢
Recent buying56% YES · 44% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

50¢60¢70¢80¢90¢volSep 20, 7:09 AMSep 20, 11:10 PM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask74290¢
  • ask20086¢
spreadmid 82¢
  • bid577¢
  • bid20076¢
  • bid50050¢
  • bid94335¢
  • bid3931¢
  • bid1,00028¢
  • bid50020¢
  • bid50010¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Rivian Automotive Inc. reports Above 60000 total vehicles delivered in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 23 · 5:19 PM UTC
closes
Mar 31, 2028 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 31, 2028 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
60000
ticker
KXRIVNA-28JANDELIV-60000
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 26 trades, 56% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
14d ago78¢88bought yes
24d ago68¢6.36bought no
24d ago77¢4.99bought yes
24d ago78¢1.37bought yes
2mo ago76¢0.01bought no
2mo ago76¢4.99bought no
2mo ago73¢5bought no
2mo ago73¢0.01bought no
2mo ago73¢83bought no
2mo ago80¢1bought yes
2mo ago66¢33bought no
2mo ago70¢5bought no
2mo ago1.77bought no
2mo ago79¢12bought yes
2mo ago71¢66bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.