Rivian KPI·closes in 19mo

Will Rivian Automotive Inc. report above 62000 total vehicles delivered in fiscal 2026?

YES means Above 62000

24h volume
0
520 lifetime
Open interest
516
Spread
36¢
5 × 7.29 at the touch
24h range
11 recent trades
Chance of YES
68%

A YES contract costs 67¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
32%

costs 69¢

YES bid / ask
31¢ / 67¢
NO bid / ask
33¢ / 69¢
Recent buying99% YES · 1% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Rivian Automotive Inc. reports above 62000 total vehicles delivered in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 30 · 11:00 PM UTC
closes
Mar 31, 2028 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 31, 2028 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
62000
ticker
KXRIVNA-28JANDELIV-62000
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 11 trades, 99% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4d ago68¢5bought no
20d ago67¢2.29bought no
20d ago71¢7bought yes
22d ago69¢200bought yes
24d ago67¢1.45bought yes
1mo ago63¢2.29bought yes
1mo ago63¢15bought yes
1mo ago63¢1.56bought yes
1mo ago63¢84bought yes
1mo ago62¢1.56bought yes
2mo ago63¢200bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.