galdor.xyz
Admin
Rivian KPI·closes in 19mo

Will Rivian Automotive Inc. report above 64000 total vehicles delivered in fiscal 2026?

YES means Above 64000

24h volume
0
682 lifetime
Open interest
452
+183 over 30d
Spread
7¢
0.1 × 200 at the touch
24h range
–
36 recent trades
Chance of YES
53%

A YES contract costs 67¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
47%

costs 40¢

YES bid / ask
60¢ / 67¢
NO bid / ask
33¢ / 40¢
Recent buying68% YES · 32% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
25¢50¢75¢100¢volAug 22Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask20099¢
  • ask20067¢
spread7¢mid 64¢
  • bid0.160¢
  • bid559¢
  • bid20057¢
  • bid37021¢
  • bid1820¢
  • bid1,00017¢
  • bid466¢
  • bid1,0005¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Rivian Automotive Inc. reports above 64000 total vehicles delivered in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 30 · 11:00 PM UTC
closes
Mar 31, 2028 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 31, 2028 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
64000
ticker
KXRIVNA-28JANDELIV-64000
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 36 trades, 68% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago53¢178bought yes
3d ago52¢5bought yes
4d ago58¢9.72bought no
4d ago57¢5bought no
1mo ago52¢4bought no
1mo ago52¢82bought no
1mo ago52¢8bought no
1mo ago52¢25bought no
1mo ago52¢25bought no
1mo ago52¢0.01bought no
1mo ago52¢10bought no
1mo ago52¢25bought no
1mo ago52¢25bought no
1mo ago53¢1.72bought yes
1mo ago53¢28bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.