Rivian KPI·closes in 19mo

Will Rivian Automotive Inc. report above 66000 total vehicles delivered in fiscal 2026?

YES means Above 66000

24h volume
0
757 lifetime
Open interest
407
+405 over 30d
Spread
5 × 200 at the touch
24h range
15 recent trades
Chance of YES
48%

A YES contract costs 59¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
52%

costs 49¢

YES bid / ask
51¢ / 59¢
NO bid / ask
41¢ / 49¢
Recent buying43% YES · 57% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

25¢50¢75¢100¢volAug 22Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask20099¢
  • ask6675¢
  • ask20059¢
spreadmid 55¢
  • bid551¢
  • bid1,00050¢
  • bid20049¢
  • bid4620¢
  • bid1,46319¢
  • bid50015¢
  • bid500
  • bid200
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Rivian Automotive Inc. reports above 66000 total vehicles delivered in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 30 · 11:00 PM UTC
closes
Mar 31, 2028 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 31, 2028 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
66000
ticker
KXRIVNA-28JANDELIV-66000
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 15 trades, 43% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago48¢197bought yes
3d ago42¢5bought yes
4d ago40¢200bought no
4d ago44¢200bought no
4d ago46¢5bought no
5d ago55¢35bought yes
15d ago42¢11bought yes
22d ago41¢1.57bought yes
22d ago44¢53bought yes
25d ago42¢0.57bought yes
1mo ago38¢1.57bought no
1mo ago38¢10bought no
1mo ago38¢13bought no
2mo ago39¢15bought yes
2mo ago39¢8.25bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.