Rivian KPI·closes in 19mo

Will Rivian Automotive Inc. report above 68000 total vehicles delivered in fiscal 2026?

YES means Above 68000

24h volume
0
452 lifetime
Open interest
351
+351 over 90d
Spread
1,001 × 200 at the touch
24h range
17 recent trades
Chance of YES
67%

A YES contract costs 54¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
33%

costs 50¢

YES bid / ask
50¢ / 54¢
NO bid / ask
46¢ / 50¢
Recent buying24% YES · 76% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

25¢50¢75¢100¢volAug 3Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,50098¢
  • ask2894¢
  • ask98193¢
  • ask7375¢
  • ask20054¢
spreadmid 52¢
  • bid1,00150¢
  • bid20044¢
  • bid1,15124¢
  • bid4323¢
  • bid516¢
  • bid14
  • bid500
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Rivian Automotive Inc. reports above 68000 total vehicles delivered in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 30 · 11:00 PM UTC
closes
Mar 31, 2028 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 31, 2028 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
68000
ticker
KXRIVNA-28JANDELIV-68000
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 17 trades, 24% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago66¢20bought yes
3d ago67¢2.15bought yes
3d ago66¢0.84bought yes
3d ago23¢5.88bought yes
3d ago23¢4.12bought yes
4d ago21¢200bought no
4d ago21¢5bought no
19d ago19¢117bought no
19d ago20¢5bought no
22d ago26¢72bought yes
22d ago25¢1bought yes
25d ago26¢0.91bought yes
1mo ago20¢4bought no
1mo ago20¢4bought no
2mo ago20¢1bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.