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WHO WILL HEADLINE COACHELLA?·closes in 16mo

Will Bad Bunny be a Headliner at Coachella 2027?

YES means Bad Bunny

24h volume
0
667 lifetime
Open interest
574
Spread
3¢
116 × 34 at the touch
24h range
–
21 recent trades
Chance of YES
6%

A YES contract costs 6¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
94%

costs 97¢

YES bid / ask
3¢ / 6¢
NO bid / ask
94¢ / 97¢
Recent buying73% YES · 27% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask20083¢
  • ask13456¢
  • ask21451¢
  • ask12550¢
  • ask349¢
  • ask4239¢
  • ask1618¢
  • ask346¢
spread3¢mid 5¢
  • bid1163¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Bad Bunny is the Headliner at Coachella 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

To fulfill the Payout Criterion, the specified person must actually appear and carry out the specified role at the event. Being listed in the official lineup without actually performing does not qualify. Joint performances where the person shares the role with another performer do count. The performance qualifies even if delayed, shortened, or modified in format. Pre-recorded content does not qualify unless explicitly designated by organizers as fulfilling the role. Rumored or unofficial announcements, canceled appearances, and performances in different roles than specified do not satisfy the criterion.

Settlement sources
opened
Dec 10, 2025 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC
ticker
KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-BAD
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 21 trades, 73% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago6¢16bought yes
4d ago6¢0.46bought yes
15d ago6¢16bought yes
18d ago4¢0.46bought no
19d ago4¢19bought no
21d ago8¢4.27bought no
21d ago7¢1.73bought no
23d ago14¢1.92bought yes
28d ago7¢1.92bought no
28d ago11¢4.27bought yes
29d ago7¢5.35bought no
1mo ago9¢5bought no
1mo ago10¢25bought no
1mo ago9¢34bought no
1mo ago11¢15bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.