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WHO WILL HEADLINE COACHELLA?·closes in 16mo

Will Dua Lipa be a Headliner at Coachella 2027?

YES means Dua Lipa

24h volume
1,060
27.6k lifetime
Open interest
16.5k
+6,366 over 30d
Spread
15¢
10 × 5 at the touch
24h range
69¢ – 92¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
88%+5

A YES contract costs 93¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
12%

costs 22¢

YES bid / ask
78¢ / 93¢
NO bid / ask
7¢ / 22¢
24h low 69¢24h high 92¢
Recent buying81% YES · 19% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
50¢75¢100¢volAug 22Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2299¢
  • ask1,11298¢
  • ask52397¢
  • ask196¢
  • ask22495¢
  • ask22494¢
  • ask593¢
spread15¢mid 86¢
  • bid1078¢
  • bid1474¢
  • bid7570¢
  • bid2569¢
  • bid8567¢
  • bid12365¢
  • bid50062¢
  • bid1350¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Dua Lipa is the Headliner at Coachella 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

To fulfill the Payout Criterion, the specified person must actually appear and carry out the specified role at the event. Being listed in the official lineup without actually performing does not qualify. Joint performances where the person shares the role with another performer do count. The performance qualifies even if delayed, shortened, or modified in format. Pre-recorded content does not qualify unless explicitly designated by organizers as fulfilling the role. Rumored or unofficial announcements, canceled appearances, and performances in different roles than specified do not satisfy the criterion.

Settlement sources
opened
Dec 10, 2025 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC
ticker
KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-CUA
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 81% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4h ago87¢5bought yes
4h ago88¢23bought yes
12h ago84¢5bought no
12h ago69¢0.83bought no
12h ago83¢9.68bought no
14h ago92¢996bought yes
14h ago91¢15bought yes
14h ago90¢5bought yes
2d ago83¢39bought no
2d ago88¢3.31bought yes
2d ago85¢5bought yes
2d ago85¢108bought yes
2d ago85¢17bought yes
2d ago84¢29bought yes
3d ago83¢1.58bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.