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WHO WILL HEADLINE COACHELLA?·closes in 16mo

Will Daft Punk be a Headliner at Coachella 2027?

YES means Daft Punk

24h volume
0
15.8k lifetime
Open interest
8,090
+2,660 over 90d
Spread
3¢
44 × 243 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
4%

A YES contract costs 7¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
96%

costs 96¢

YES bid / ask
4¢ / 7¢
NO bid / ask
93¢ / 96¢
Recent buying55% YES · 45% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢volJun 25Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask36984¢
  • ask3379¢
  • ask17954¢
  • ask31647¢
  • ask38145¢
  • ask8244¢
  • ask3443¢
  • ask2437¢
spread3¢mid 5¢
  • bid444¢
  • bid1013¢
  • bid311¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Daft Punk is the Headliner at Coachella 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

To fulfill the Payout Criterion, the specified person must actually appear and carry out the specified role at the event. Being listed in the official lineup without actually performing does not qualify. Joint performances where the person shares the role with another performer do count. The performance qualifies even if delayed, shortened, or modified in format. Pre-recorded content does not qualify unless explicitly designated by organizers as fulfilling the role. Rumored or unofficial announcements, canceled appearances, and performances in different roles than specified do not satisfy the criterion.

Settlement sources
opened
Dec 10, 2025 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC
ticker
KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-DAF
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 55% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago4¢10bought no
8d ago6¢41bought no
10d ago7¢282bought yes
11d ago6¢16bought no
11d ago6¢4.57bought no
12d ago7¢67bought yes
16d ago7¢13bought yes
16d ago7¢563bought yes
18d ago7¢65bought yes
18d ago7¢2.47bought no
18d ago19¢1bought yes
18d ago19¢65bought yes
18d ago9¢1.3bought yes
18d ago9¢15bought yes
18d ago9¢100bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.