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WHO WILL HEADLINE COACHELLA?·closes in 16mo

Will Drake be a Headliner at Coachella 2027?

YES means Drake

24h volume
54
19.9k lifetime
Open interest
9,455
+4,438 over 30d
Spread
29¢
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
6¢ – 66¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
45%+27

A YES contract costs 42¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
55%

costs 87¢

YES bid / ask
13¢ / 42¢
NO bid / ask
58¢ / 87¢
24h low 6¢24h high 66¢
Recent buying25% YES · 75% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢volAug 22Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask9767¢
  • ask1766¢
  • ask12765¢
  • ask16047¢
  • ask2946¢
  • ask1545¢
  • ask543¢
  • ask542¢
spread29¢mid 28¢
  • bid513¢
  • bid8110¢
  • bid1009¢
  • bid985¢
  • bid1404¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Drake is the Headliner at Coachella 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

To fulfill the Payout Criterion, the specified person must actually appear and carry out the specified role at the event. Being listed in the official lineup without actually performing does not qualify. Joint performances where the person shares the role with another performer do count. The performance qualifies even if delayed, shortened, or modified in format. Pre-recorded content does not qualify unless explicitly designated by organizers as fulfilling the role. Rumored or unofficial announcements, canceled appearances, and performances in different roles than specified do not satisfy the criterion.

Settlement sources
opened
Dec 10, 2025 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC
ticker
KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-DRA
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 25% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3h ago45¢2.5bought yes
3h ago37¢5bought yes
3h ago36¢5bought yes
22h ago10¢21bought no
22h ago11¢5.5bought no
22h ago14¢15bought no
3d ago18¢18bought yes
3d ago18¢26bought yes
3d ago17¢8.92bought yes
4d ago17¢5.5bought yes
4d ago16¢5.91bought yes
4d ago16¢9.09bought yes
4d ago13¢15bought no
5d ago12¢43bought no
5d ago16¢246bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.