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WHO WILL HEADLINE COACHELLA?·closes in 16mo

Will Fred again.. be a Headliner at Coachella 2027?

YES means Fred again..

24h volume
240
35.7k lifetime
Open interest
16.9k
+7,809 over 90d
Spread
34¢
31 × 10 at the touch
24h range
4¢ – 92¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
4%−33

A YES contract costs 38¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
96%

costs 96¢

YES bid / ask
4¢ / 38¢
NO bid / ask
62¢ / 96¢
24h low 4¢24h high 92¢
Recent buying39% YES · 61% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢volJun 24Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask13366¢
  • ask359¢
  • ask1452¢
  • ask2847¢
  • ask1543¢
  • ask541¢
  • ask2339¢
  • ask1038¢
spread34¢mid 21¢
  • bid314¢
  • bid1253¢
  • bid5502¢
  • bid2,6421¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Fred again.. is the Headliner at Coachella 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

To fulfill the Payout Criterion, the specified person must actually appear and carry out the specified role at the event. Being listed in the official lineup without actually performing does not qualify. Joint performances where the person shares the role with another performer do count. The performance qualifies even if delayed, shortened, or modified in format. Pre-recorded content does not qualify unless explicitly designated by organizers as fulfilling the role. Rumored or unofficial announcements, canceled appearances, and performances in different roles than specified do not satisfy the criterion.

Settlement sources
opened
Dec 10, 2025 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC
ticker
KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-FRE
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 39% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4h ago4¢15bought no
4h ago15¢72bought no
4h ago10¢0.6bought no
4h ago10¢12bought no
4h ago14¢72bought no
10h ago19¢5bought no
10h ago14¢28bought no
10h ago15¢15bought no
10h ago16¢9.74bought no
11h ago19¢5bought no
11h ago31¢5bought no
11h ago16¢0.05bought no
2d ago37¢154bought no
2d ago37¢0.72bought no
2d ago39¢1.2bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.