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WHO WILL HEADLINE COACHELLA?·closes in 16mo

Will Justin Bieber be a Headliner at Coachella 2027?

YES means Justin Bieber

24h volume
0
5,841 lifetime
Open interest
2,434
−14 over 30d
Spread
3¢
110 × 50 at the touch
24h range
–
35 recent trades
Chance of YES
5%

A YES contract costs 5¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
95%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask
2¢ / 5¢
NO bid / ask
95¢ / 98¢
Recent buying20% YES · 80% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volAug 23Sep 19

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask23884¢
  • ask48882¢
  • ask1481¢
  • ask16755¢
  • ask5153¢
  • ask6438¢
  • ask18837¢
  • ask505¢
spread3¢mid 4¢
  • bid1102¢
  • bid7741¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Justin Bieber is the Headliner at Coachella 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

To fulfill the Payout Criterion, the specified person must actually appear and carry out the specified role at the event. Being listed in the official lineup without actually performing does not qualify. Joint performances where the person shares the role with another performer do count. The performance qualifies even if delayed, shortened, or modified in format. Pre-recorded content does not qualify unless explicitly designated by organizers as fulfilling the role. Rumored or unofficial announcements, canceled appearances, and performances in different roles than specified do not satisfy the criterion.

Settlement sources
opened
Dec 10, 2025 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC
ticker
KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-JUS
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 35 trades, 20% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
20d ago5¢14bought yes
20d ago5¢100bought yes
20d ago5¢10bought yes
28d ago5¢19bought yes
29d ago3¢5.14bought no
1mo ago5¢15bought no
1mo ago5¢25bought no
1mo ago5¢25bought no
1mo ago5¢160bought no
1mo ago5¢25bought no
1mo ago5¢25bought no
1mo ago5¢25bought no
1mo ago5¢50bought no
1mo ago5¢93bought no
1mo ago5¢25bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.