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WHO WILL HEADLINE COACHELLA?·closes in 16mo

Will Madonna be a Headliner at Coachella 2027?

YES means Madonna

24h volume
0
422 lifetime
Open interest
398
+311 over 30d
Spread
88¢
104 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
9 recent trades
Chance of YES
12%

A YES contract costs 97¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
88%

costs 91¢

YES bid / ask
9¢ / 97¢
NO bid / ask
3¢ / 91¢
Recent buying94% YES · 6% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
25¢50¢75¢100¢volAug 22Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5099¢
  • ask3598¢
  • ask597¢
spread88¢mid 53¢
  • bid1049¢
  • bid638¢
  • bid1732¢
  • bid501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Madonna is the Headliner at Coachella 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

To fulfill the Payout Criterion, the specified person must actually appear and carry out the specified role at the event. Being listed in the official lineup without actually performing does not qualify. Joint performances where the person shares the role with another performer do count. The performance qualifies even if delayed, shortened, or modified in format. Pre-recorded content does not qualify unless explicitly designated by organizers as fulfilling the role. Rumored or unofficial announcements, canceled appearances, and performances in different roles than specified do not satisfy the criterion.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 18 · 11:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC
ticker
KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-MAD
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 9 trades, 94% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4d ago11¢100bought yes
4d ago12¢13bought yes
4d ago11¢100bought yes
17d ago10¢94bought yes
19d ago8¢19bought no
28d ago12¢3.92bought yes
29d ago8¢5.4bought no
1mo ago13¢15bought yes
1mo ago13¢73bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.