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WHO WILL HEADLINE COACHELLA?·closes in 16mo

Will Olivia Dean be a Headliner at Coachella 2027?

YES means Olivia Dean

24h volume
122
4,833 lifetime
Open interest
2,207
+111 over 30d
Spread
59¢
12 × 12 at the touch
24h range
7¢ – 45¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
45%+38

A YES contract costs 67¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
55%

costs 92¢

YES bid / ask
8¢ / 67¢
NO bid / ask
33¢ / 92¢
24h low 7¢24h high 45¢
Recent buying38% YES · 62% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢volAug 22Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,94091¢
  • ask4.9881¢
  • ask55079¢
  • ask4678¢
  • ask3.5274¢
  • ask572¢
  • ask12171¢
  • ask1267¢
spread59¢mid 37¢
  • bid128¢
  • bid945¢
  • bid6.684¢
  • bid702¢
  • bid1001¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Olivia Dean is the Headliner at Coachella 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

To fulfill the Payout Criterion, the specified person must actually appear and carry out the specified role at the event. Being listed in the official lineup without actually performing does not qualify. Joint performances where the person shares the role with another performer do count. The performance qualifies even if delayed, shortened, or modified in format. Pre-recorded content does not qualify unless explicitly designated by organizers as fulfilling the role. Rumored or unofficial announcements, canceled appearances, and performances in different roles than specified do not satisfy the criterion.

Settlement sources
opened
Dec 10, 2025 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC
ticker
KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-OLI
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 38% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2h ago45¢2.35bought yes
2h ago7¢19bought yes
2h ago7¢100bought yes
3d ago7¢47bought yes
3d ago7¢6.68bought yes
5d ago7¢6.7bought yes
6d ago4¢45bought no
9d ago5¢14bought no
9d ago4¢8.55bought no
12d ago9¢5.32bought yes
12d ago10¢14bought yes
19d ago4¢19bought no
19d ago2¢151bought no
19d ago6¢167bought no
20d ago11¢36bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.