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WHO WILL HEADLINE COACHELLA?·closes in 16mo

Will Rihanna be a Headliner at Coachella 2027?

YES means Rihanna

24h volume
0
4,455 lifetime
Open interest
2,204
−0.25 over 7d
Spread
3¢
85 × 176 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
9%

A YES contract costs 12¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
91%

costs 91¢

YES bid / ask
9¢ / 12¢
NO bid / ask
88¢ / 91¢
Recent buying56% YES · 44% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢15¢20¢volSep 14Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask30286¢
  • ask36685¢
  • ask24060¢
  • ask28555¢
  • ask5054¢
  • ask26541¢
  • ask17612¢
spread3¢mid 11¢
  • bid859¢
  • bid558¢
  • bid1382¢
  • bid2001¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Rihanna is the Headliner at Coachella 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

To fulfill the Payout Criterion, the specified person must actually appear and carry out the specified role at the event. Being listed in the official lineup without actually performing does not qualify. Joint performances where the person shares the role with another performer do count. The performance qualifies even if delayed, shortened, or modified in format. Pre-recorded content does not qualify unless explicitly designated by organizers as fulfilling the role. Rumored or unofficial announcements, canceled appearances, and performances in different roles than specified do not satisfy the criterion.

Settlement sources
opened
Dec 10, 2025 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC
ticker
KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-RIH
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 56% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago9¢47bought no
4d ago12¢47bought yes
12d ago11¢6.81bought yes
12d ago11¢1bought yes
12d ago11¢2bought yes
12d ago11¢20bought yes
12d ago11¢2bought yes
12d ago11¢18bought yes
12d ago11¢10bought yes
12d ago11¢10bought yes
12d ago11¢10bought yes
12d ago11¢2bought yes
12d ago10¢4bought yes
12d ago3¢200bought yes
12d ago2¢3bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.