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WHO WILL HEADLINE COACHELLA?·closes in 16mo

Will Tame Impala be a Headliner at Coachella 2027?

YES means Tame Impala

24h volume
0
11.2k lifetime
Open interest
7,596
+7,596 over 90d
Spread
7¢
100 × 5 at the touch
24h range
31¢ – 97¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
88%

A YES contract costs 93¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
12%

costs 14¢

YES bid / ask
86¢ / 93¢
NO bid / ask
7¢ / 14¢
24h low 31¢24h high 97¢
Recent buying76% YES · 24% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
50¢75¢100¢volAug 12Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask15399¢
  • ask1,11298¢
  • ask73997¢
  • ask12696¢
  • ask1,00094¢
  • ask593¢
spread7¢mid 90¢
  • bid10086¢
  • bid385¢
  • bid8751¢
  • bid5350¢
  • bid20048¢
  • bid4843¢
  • bid62142¢
  • bid25434¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Tame Impala is the Headliner at Coachella 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

To fulfill the Payout Criterion, the specified person must actually appear and carry out the specified role at the event. Being listed in the official lineup without actually performing does not qualify. Joint performances where the person shares the role with another performer do count. The performance qualifies even if delayed, shortened, or modified in format. Pre-recorded content does not qualify unless explicitly designated by organizers as fulfilling the role. Rumored or unofficial announcements, canceled appearances, and performances in different roles than specified do not satisfy the criterion.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 10 · 7:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC
ticker
KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-TAM
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 76% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2d ago88¢3.29bought no
2d ago86¢183bought yes
2d ago93¢12bought yes
2d ago93¢50bought yes
2d ago84¢100bought yes
2d ago93¢20bought yes
4d ago84¢2bought no
4d ago85¢22bought no
4d ago84¢77bought no
4d ago89¢11bought yes
4d ago84¢2bought no
5d ago84¢5bought no
5d ago83¢1.16bought no
5d ago87¢29bought yes
5d ago93¢10bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.