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WHO WILL HEADLINE COACHELLA?·closes in 16mo

Will Taylor Swift be a Headliner at Coachella 2027?

YES means Taylor Swift

24h volume
0
3,536 lifetime
Open interest
3,059
Spread
3¢
696 × 31 at the touch
24h range
–
38 recent trades
Chance of YES
3%

A YES contract costs 4¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
97%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
1¢ / 4¢
NO bid / ask
96¢ / 99¢
Recent buying15% YES · 85% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,13037¢
  • ask53536¢
  • ask25235¢
  • ask32932¢
  • ask10031¢
  • ask5330¢
  • ask466¢
  • ask314¢
spread3¢mid 3¢
  • bid6961¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Taylor Swift is the Headliner at Coachella 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

To fulfill the Payout Criterion, the specified person must actually appear and carry out the specified role at the event. Being listed in the official lineup without actually performing does not qualify. Joint performances where the person shares the role with another performer do count. The performance qualifies even if delayed, shortened, or modified in format. Pre-recorded content does not qualify unless explicitly designated by organizers as fulfilling the role. Rumored or unofficial announcements, canceled appearances, and performances in different roles than specified do not satisfy the criterion.

Settlement sources
opened
Dec 10, 2025 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC
ticker
KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-TAY
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 38 trades, 15% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
16d ago3¢5.9bought no
19d ago8¢5.69bought yes
19d ago7¢500bought no
19d ago13¢69bought no
19d ago8¢25bought no
20d ago13¢23bought no
20d ago16¢5.9bought yes
29d ago13¢5.69bought no
1mo ago12¢1bought no
1mo ago12¢25bought no
1mo ago12¢30bought no
1mo ago13¢43bought yes
1mo ago13¢25bought yes
1mo ago13¢84bought yes
1mo ago12¢1.12bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.