Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Iowa Republican caucus?
YES means J.D. Vance
- 24h volume
- 0
- 12 lifetime
- Open interest
- 12
- +0 over 24h
- Spread
- 8¢
- 200 × 5 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 1 recent trades
A YES contract costs 44¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 64¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask6299¢
- ask64778¢
- ask25077¢
- ask45045¢
- ask544¢
- bid20036¢
- bid22211¢
- bid2,6432¢
- bid631¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If J.D. Vance wins the 2028 Iowa Republican caucus, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
- opened
- Jul 24 · 10:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Nov 7, 2028 · 10:00 AM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Nov 7, 2028 · 10:00 AM UTC
- ticker
- KXRPRESPRIMARY-28IA-JVAN
Other outcomes in this event
Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 87¢).
Recent trades
Over the last 1 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2mo ago | 42¢ | 12 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.