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Republican Presidential ticket·closes in 26mo

Will JD Vance and Donald Trump be the 2028 Republican Presidential ticket?

YES means JD Vance and Donald Trump

24h volume
0
5,514 lifetime
Open interest
5,328
Spread
25¢
999 × 25 at the touch
24h range
–
20 recent trades
Chance of YES
0%

A YES contract costs 25¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
100%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 25¢
NO bid / ask
75¢ / 100¢
Recent buying97% YES · 3% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask22763¢
  • ask5060¢
  • ask2055¢
  • ask2545¢
  • ask1638¢
  • ask2035¢
  • ask2330¢
  • ask2525¢
spread25¢mid 13¢
  • bid9990¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the Republican presidential nominee is JD Vance AND the Republican vice presidential nominee is Donald Trump in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Order matters: the first person listed is the presidential nominee and the second is the vice presidential nominee. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Presidential Nominee (PRESNOM), Vice Presidential Nominee (VPRESNOM). The presidential nominee (listed first) is resolved under PRESNOM and the vice presidential nominee (listed second) is resolved under VPRESNOM.

Settlement sources
opened
Apr 17 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 14, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXRTICKET-28NOV07-JVANDJT
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 104¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 20 trades, 97% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago0¢0.2bought no
7d ago0¢131bought no
7d ago13¢131bought yes
8d ago12¢78bought yes
8d ago5¢353bought yes
8d ago45¢7.59bought yes
8d ago8¢200bought yes
8d ago5¢1bought yes
10d ago5¢20bought yes
11d ago0¢1bought no
19d ago5¢0.2bought yes
22d ago5¢306bought yes
27d ago4¢825bought yes
27d ago5¢1,320bought yes
1mo ago4¢117bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.