galdor.xyz
Admin
Republican Presidential ticket·closes in 26mo

Will JD Vance and Donald Trump Jr. be the 2028 Republican Presidential ticket?

YES means JD Vance and Donald Trump Jr.

24h volume
0
3,166 lifetime
Open interest
1,900
+0 over 30d
Spread
8¢
500 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
8 recent trades
Chance of YES
0%

A YES contract costs 9¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
100%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
1¢ / 9¢
NO bid / ask
91¢ / 99¢
Recent buying59% YES · 41% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢15¢volAug 25Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask10097¢
  • ask10093¢
  • ask5,00093¢
  • ask5093¢
  • ask8992¢
  • ask1,00010¢
  • ask509¢
  • ask59¢
spread8¢mid 5¢
  • bid5001¢
  • bid1801¢
  • bid5001¢
  • bid3,0000¢
  • bid5,0000¢
  • bid10.0k0¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the Republican presidential nominee is JD Vance AND the Republican vice presidential nominee is Donald Trump Jr. in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Order matters: the first person listed is the presidential nominee and the second is the vice presidential nominee. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Presidential Nominee (PRESNOM), Vice Presidential Nominee (VPRESNOM). The presidential nominee (listed first) is resolved under PRESNOM and the vice presidential nominee (listed second) is resolved under VPRESNOM.

Settlement sources
opened
Apr 17 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 14, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXRTICKET-28NOV07-JVANDTJR
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 104¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 8 trades, 59% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
27d ago0¢1,000bought no
27d ago0¢232bought no
27d ago0¢1bought no
27d ago0¢1bought no
27d ago3¢700bought yes
27d ago3¢50bought yes
27d ago80¢32bought yes
27d ago5¢1,000bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.