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Republican Presidential ticket·closes in 26mo

Will JD Vance and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Presidential ticket?

YES means JD Vance and Marco Rubio

24h volume
35
11.5k lifetime
Open interest
6,862
+4,092 over 90d
Spread
12¢
78 × 10 at the touch
24h range
24¢ – 36¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
36%+7

A YES contract costs 36¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
64%

costs 76¢

YES bid / ask
24¢ / 36¢
NO bid / ask
64¢ / 76¢
24h low 24¢24h high 36¢
Recent buying70% YES · 30% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
20¢30¢40¢volJun 24Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask38570¢
  • ask2069¢
  • ask1867¢
  • ask365¢
  • ask34063¢
  • ask1856¢
  • ask1355¢
  • ask1036¢
spread12¢mid 30¢
  • bid7824¢
  • bid6523¢
  • bid4,00022¢
  • bid14821¢
  • bid10017¢
  • bid357¢
  • bid507¢
  • bid376¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the Republican presidential nominee is JD Vance AND the Republican vice presidential nominee is Marco Rubio in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Order matters: the first person listed is the presidential nominee and the second is the vice presidential nominee. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Presidential Nominee (PRESNOM), Vice Presidential Nominee (VPRESNOM). The presidential nominee (listed first) is resolved under PRESNOM and the vice presidential nominee (listed second) is resolved under VPRESNOM.

Settlement sources
opened
Apr 17 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 14, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXRTICKET-28NOV07-JVANMRUB
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 104¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 70% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3h ago36¢5.31bought yes
6h ago24¢13bought no
7h ago36¢13bought yes
8h ago36¢2.65bought yes
2d ago29¢16bought yes
2d ago20¢3.65bought no
2d ago29¢6.57bought yes
2d ago29¢0.55bought yes
3d ago31¢15bought yes
3d ago30¢16bought yes
3d ago26¢18bought no
4d ago27¢35bought yes
4d ago27¢18bought yes
4d ago27¢35bought yes
5d ago26¢11bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.