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Men's Rugby World Cup Winner·closes in 14mo

Will South Africa win the 2027 Men's Rugby World Cup?

YES means South Africa

24h volume
0
302 lifetime
Open interest
178
+178 over 30d
Spread
96¢
164 × 106 at the touch
24h range
–
16 recent trades
Chance of YES
3%

A YES contract costs 99¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
97%

costs 97¢

YES bid / ask
3¢ / 99¢
NO bid / ask
1¢ / 97¢
Recent buying64% YES · 36% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volSep 3Sep 19

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask10699¢
spread96¢mid 51¢
  • bid1643¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If South Africa wins the 2027 Men's Rugby World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market resolves to Yes if South Africa is declared the winner of the 2027 Men's Rugby World Cup by World Rugby. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 31 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 13, 2027 · 11:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 13, 2027 · 11:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXRUGBYWC-27-RSA
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 103¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 16 trades, 64% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2d ago3¢2.05bought no
5d ago18¢29bought no
5d ago9¢13bought no
5d ago60¢14bought no
5d ago13¢45bought no
6d ago60¢4.79bought no
8d ago97¢32bought yes
8d ago99¢19bought yes
8d ago97¢2.05bought yes
8d ago97¢5.14bought yes
8d ago97¢99bought yes
8d ago96¢2bought yes
9d ago97¢19bought yes
9d ago96¢2bought yes
10d ago97¢10bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.