Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of RiseandShine Corporation, d/b/a Rise Brewing in RiseandShine Corp. v. PepsiCo, Inc.
YES means Before Aug 1, 2028
- 24h volume
- 0
- 634 lifetime
- Open interest
- 634
- +0 over 24h
- Spread
- 9¢
- 5 × 200 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 7 recent trades
A YES contract costs 70¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 39¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask5099¢
- ask2,12795¢
- ask2,66394¢
- ask38392¢
- ask20091¢
- ask26784¢
- ask5483¢
- ask20070¢
- bid561¢
- bid20060¢
- bid25025¢
- bid32524¢
- bid501¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the Supreme Court, in RiseandShine Corp. v. PepsiCo, Inc., rules trademark strength is a question of fact in determining likelihood of confusion under 15 U.S.C. § 1114, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has ruled that trademark strength is a question of fact in a likelihood-of-confusion analysis under 15 U.S.C. § 1114 after Issuance and before August 1, 2028. The market resolves to No if the Court holds that trademark strength is a question of law, characterizes it as a mixed question without holding that the trademark-strength determination is factual, dismisses the writ as improvidently granted, or otherwise dismisses, vacates, or remands the case without resolving the Question Presented on the merits. A remand following an express merits holding that trademark strength is a question of fact resolves to Yes.
- opened
- Jul 24 · 12:00 AM UTC
- closes
- Aug 1, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Aug 1, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXSCOTUSCASE-RISPEP28
This event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
This is the only market in Will SCOTUS treat trademark strength as a factual question?.
Recent trades
Over the last 7 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19d ago | 69¢ | 25 | bought yes |
| 26d ago | 69¢ | 100 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 69¢ | 100 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 59¢ | 200 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 55¢ | 191 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 55¢ | 9 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 55¢ | 8.8 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.