What will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump's term?
YES means 8 Conservatives and 1 Liberals
- 24h volume
- 0
- 4,355 lifetime
- Open interest
- 2,401
- Spread
- 2¢
- 990 × 542 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 5 recent trades
A YES contract costs 2¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 100¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask5835¢
- ask125¢
- ask115¢
- ask18¢
- ask16¢
- ask2005¢
- ask94¢
- ask5422¢
- bid9900¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If on Jan 20, 2029 there are 8 Supreme Court justices appointed by Republican Presidents and 1 Supreme Court justices appointed by Democrats, then the market resolves to Yes.
If there are not nine justices at the time of Expiration, then that strike will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
- opened
- Nov 9, 2024 · 7:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXSCOTUSPOWER-29-29JAN20-R8-1
Other outcomes in this event
Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 96¢).
Recent trades
Over the last 5 trades, 98% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3d ago | 0¢ | 4 | bought no |
| 14d ago | 2¢ | 23 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 2¢ | 6 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 2¢ | 10 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 2¢ | 218 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.