galdor.xyz
Admin
Next SCOTUS justice·closes in 28mo

Will Aileen Cannon become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?

YES means Aileen Cannon

24h volume
0
44.9k lifetime
Open interest
19.4k
Spread
0¢
0.51 × 168 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
6%

A YES contract costs 6¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
94%

costs 94¢

YES bid / ask
6¢ / 6¢
NO bid / ask
94¢ / 94¢
Recent buying24% YES · 76% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask11818¢
  • ask19314¢
  • ask78913¢
  • ask50012¢
  • ask19111¢
  • ask2510¢
  • ask217¢
  • ask1686¢
spread0¢mid 6¢
  • bid0.516¢
  • bid3,3666¢
  • bid155¢
  • bid235¢
  • bid15¢
  • bid2174¢
  • bid1,0104¢
  • bid204¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Aileen Cannon is the first person confirmed by the Senate to the position of Justice of the Supreme Court by January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 7, 2024 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 21, 2029 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXSCOURT-29-AC
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 101¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 24% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago6¢43bought yes
1d ago6¢1bought yes
1d ago6¢9.71bought no
1d ago6¢2bought no
1d ago6¢1,598bought no
1d ago6¢25bought no
1d ago7¢0.08bought no
1d ago6¢1bought no
3d ago7¢6bought no
6d ago7¢0.59bought no
7d ago8¢0.59bought yes
7d ago8¢1.37bought no
7d ago8¢13bought no
12d ago12¢0.07bought yes
12d ago8¢100bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.