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Next SCOTUS justice·closes in 28mo

Will Anna St. John become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?

YES means Anna St. John

24h volume
0
191 lifetime
Open interest
173
Spread
1¢
0 × 7,131 at the touch
24h range
–
Chance of YES
2%

A YES contract costs 1¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
98%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 1¢
NO bid / ask
99¢ / 100¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask73751¢
  • ask2,62639¢
  • ask1,72238¢
  • ask337¢
  • ask40013¢
  • ask2005¢
  • ask2,1822¢
  • ask7,1311¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Anna St. John is the first person confirmed by the Senate to the position of Justice of the Supreme Court by January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Jun 30 · 6:45 PM UTC
    closes
    Jan 21, 2029 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
    ticker
    KXSCOURT-29-AJOH
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 101¢).

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.