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KXSCOURT·closes in 28mo

Will James Ho become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?

YES means James Ho

24h volume
0
31.5k lifetime
Open interest
16.6k
Spread
1¢
10 × 202 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
15%

A YES contract costs 14¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
85%

costs 87¢

YES bid / ask
13¢ / 14¢
NO bid / ask
86¢ / 87¢
Recent buying94% YES · 6% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask18324¢
  • ask20020¢
  • ask4619¢
  • ask2.518¢
  • ask7.3517¢
  • ask75016¢
  • ask115¢
  • ask20214¢
spread1¢mid 14¢
  • bid1013¢
  • bid1512¢
  • bid6.2811¢
  • bid21510¢
  • bid0.319¢
  • bid249¢
  • bid149¢
  • bid289¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If James Ho is the first person confirmed by the Senate to the position of Justice of the Supreme Court by January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 7, 2024 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 21, 2029 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXSCOURT-29-JH
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 101¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 94% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago14¢10bought yes
3d ago15¢0.06bought yes
5d ago11¢11bought no
5d ago11¢8.72bought no
6d ago16¢40bought yes
6d ago10¢5.25bought yes
6d ago12¢4.84bought yes
6d ago11¢2.87bought yes
6d ago15¢44bought yes
6d ago12¢9.26bought yes
6d ago10¢3bought yes
6d ago11¢5.94bought yes
6d ago10¢5bought yes
6d ago10¢15bought yes
6d ago12¢10bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.