Will Patrick Bumatay become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?
YES means Patrick Bumatay
- 24h volume
- 0
- 14.8k lifetime
- Open interest
- 10.8k
- +0 over 24h
- Spread
- 0¢
- 1.23 × 0.59 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 12 recent trades
A YES contract costs 2¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 99¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask6.276¢
- ask106¢
- ask5.446¢
- ask5585¢
- ask405¢
- ask412¢
- ask462¢
- ask0.592¢
- bid1.231¢
- bid0.821¢
- bid0.011¢
- bid521¢
- bid501¢
- bid1.841¢
- bid2001¢
- bid3601¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Patrick Bumatay is the first person confirmed by the Senate to the position of Justice of the Supreme Court by January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- opened
- Nov 7, 2024 · 3:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 21, 2029 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXSCOURT-29-PB
Other outcomes in this event
Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 101¢).
Recent trades
Over the last 12 trades, 53% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3d ago | 2¢ | 1.29 | bought yes |
| 3d ago | 2¢ | 200 | bought yes |
| 3d ago | 2¢ | 195 | bought yes |
| 3d ago | 2¢ | 200 | bought yes |
| 3d ago | 2¢ | 154 | bought yes |
| 29d ago | 5¢ | 192 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 5¢ | 1 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 5¢ | 1.04 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 5¢ | 500 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 5¢ | 36 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 5¢ | 1.38 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 4¢ | 1 | bought no |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.