Will Ted Cruz become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?
YES means Ted Cruz
- 24h volume
- 62
- 40.3k lifetime
- Open interest
- 20.0k
- +9,726 over 90d
- Spread
- 0¢
- 20 × 10 at the touch
- 24h range
- 1¢ – 6¢
- 50 recent trades
A YES contract costs 3¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 97¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask9656¢
- ask206¢
- ask2135¢
- ask275¢
- ask13¢
- ask0.333¢
- ask2013¢
- ask103¢
- bid203¢
- bid4813¢
- bid6.512¢
- bid402¢
- bid3.381¢
- bid1431¢
- bid801¢
- bid391¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Ted Cruz is the first person confirmed by the Senate to the position of Justice of the Supreme Court by January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- opened
- Jun 20, 2025 · 8:40 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 21, 2029 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXSCOURT-29-TED
Other outcomes in this event
Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 101¢).
Recent trades
Over the last 50 trades, 74% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5h ago | 3¢ | 24 | bought no |
| 5h ago | 3¢ | 19 | bought no |
| 5h ago | 3¢ | 18 | bought no |
| 5h ago | 3¢ | 1.81 | bought no |
| 5d ago | 2¢ | 10 | bought yes |
| 5d ago | 2¢ | 10 | bought yes |
| 5d ago | 5¢ | 11 | bought yes |
| 7d ago | 5¢ | 100 | bought yes |
| 7d ago | 5¢ | 87 | bought yes |
| 7d ago | 4¢ | 2.48 | bought yes |
| 11d ago | 2¢ | 38 | bought no |
| 11d ago | 2¢ | 188 | bought no |
| 19d ago | 1¢ | 10 | bought no |
| 19d ago | 4¢ | 25 | bought yes |
| 21d ago | 4¢ | 119 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.