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Democratic nominee for New York Senate·closes in 38mo

Will Chuck Schumer be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in New York?

YES means Chuck Schumer

24h volume
0
5,922 lifetime
Open interest
3,775
+0 over 24h
Spread
23¢
500 × 14 at the touch
24h range
–
Chance of YES
36%

A YES contract costs 36¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
64%

costs 87¢

YES bid / ask
13¢ / 36¢
NO bid / ask
64¢ / 87¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
10¢20¢30¢40¢volSep 20, 7:08 AMSep 21, 4:05 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask11052¢
  • ask2551¢
  • ask24248¢
  • ask50047¢
  • ask23246¢
  • ask25540¢
  • ask9337¢
  • ask1436¢
spread23¢mid 25¢
  • bid50013¢
  • bid23410¢
  • bid355¢
  • bid465¢
  • bid5005¢
  • bid2,0571¢
  • bid2001¢
  • bid20.0k0¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Chuck Schumer wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2028 Class III New York Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Dec 4, 2025 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXSENATENYD-28-CSCH
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.