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Democratic nominee for Senate in Pennsylvania?·closes in 38mo

Will Chris Deluzio be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Pennsylvania?

YES means Chris Deluzio

24h volume
0
4,551 lifetime
Open interest
3,851
+840 over 30d
Spread
44¢
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
24 recent trades
Chance of YES
11%

A YES contract costs 48¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
89%

costs 96¢

YES bid / ask
4¢ / 48¢
NO bid / ask
52¢ / 96¢
Recent buying96% YES · 4% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢volAug 22Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,000100¢
  • ask10099¢
  • ask4,88097¢
  • ask5197¢
  • ask3597¢
  • ask1,63049¢
  • ask548¢
spread44¢mid 26¢
  • bid54¢
  • bid563¢
  • bid5553¢
  • bid7,8703¢
  • bid12.3k2¢
  • bid4,0001¢
  • bid150¢
  • bid1,0000¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Chris Deluzio wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2028 Class III Pennsylvania Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Mar 26 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXSENATEPAD-28-CDEL
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 103¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 24 trades, 96% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4d ago11¢1bought no
7d ago20¢1bought yes
17d ago20¢200bought yes
17d ago48¢16bought yes
21d ago48¢101bought yes
26d ago8¢1.11bought yes
29d ago30¢1bought yes
29d ago47¢3bought yes
29d ago47¢20bought yes
29d ago6¢500bought yes
30d ago3¢130bought no
1mo ago8¢240bought yes
1mo ago6¢500bought yes
1mo ago6¢500bought yes
1mo ago6¢2.73bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.