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Sol above 500 in 2026·closes in 2mo

Solana price above $500 on Jan 1, 2027?

YES means na

24h volume
6,535
600.9k lifetime
Open interest
101.5k
Spread
1¢
630 × 5,915 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
3%−2

A YES contract costs 3¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
97%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask
2¢ / 3¢
NO bid / ask
97¢ / 98¢
Recent buying59% YES · 41% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask4610¢
  • ask1,4449¢
  • ask188¢
  • ask1237¢
  • ask4,5926¢
  • ask4,1505¢
  • ask4,3764¢
  • ask5,9153¢
spread1¢mid 3¢
  • bid6302¢
  • bid5,0551¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' SOLUSD_RTI is above $500.00 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Dec 3, 2025 · 5:30 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:05 AM UTC
floor
500
ticker
KXSOL26500-27JAN0100-T500
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Will Solana end 2026 over $500?.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 59% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
17m ago3¢70bought yes
17m ago2¢60bought no
18m ago2¢9.9bought no
19m ago3¢10bought yes
19m ago2¢10bought no
19m ago3¢10bought yes
19m ago2¢10bought no
21m ago2¢0.23bought no
1h ago3¢312bought yes
1h ago3¢0.1bought yes
1h ago2¢0.1bought no
4h ago3¢56bought yes
4h ago2¢56bought no
4h ago2¢61bought no
4h ago3¢56bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.