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Sol above 500 in 2026·closes in 3mo

Solana price above $500 on Jan 1, 2027?

YES means na

24h volume
12.3k
341.5k lifetime
Open interest
65.0k
Spread
2¢
144 × 18 at the touch
24h range
1¢ – 7¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
5%−2

A YES contract costs 6¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
95%

costs 96¢

YES bid / ask
4¢ / 6¢
NO bid / ask
94¢ / 96¢
24h low 1¢24h high 7¢
Recent buying86% YES · 14% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask313¢
  • ask2312¢
  • ask82611¢
  • ask1,11110¢
  • ask6869¢
  • ask9898¢
  • ask1,0937¢
  • ask186¢
spread2¢mid 5¢
  • bid1444¢
  • bid2343¢
  • bid1952¢
  • bid11.5k1¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' SOLUSD_RTI is above $500.00 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Dec 3, 2025 · 5:30 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:05 AM UTC
floor
500
ticker
KXSOL26500-27JAN0100-T500
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Will Solana end 2026 over $500?.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 86% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
11m ago5¢1.03bought yes
46m ago6¢20bought yes
46m ago6¢267bought yes
46m ago6¢106bought yes
46m ago6¢59bought yes
46m ago7¢6.43bought yes
46m ago6¢400bought yes
47m ago4¢1.03bought no
59m ago6¢25bought yes
1h ago4¢1.03bought no
1h ago4¢18bought no
1h ago6¢16bought yes
1h ago5¢7.34bought yes
1h ago5¢4.58bought yes
1h ago6¢5.62bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.