SOL Monthly One touch ·closes in 10d

Will SOL trimmed mean be above $115.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026?

YES means Above $115.00

24h volume
43
1,783 lifetime
Open interest
1,099
+1,099 over 30d
Spread
11¢
3,005 × 3,069 at the touch
24h range
56¢ – 65¢
44 recent trades
Chance of YES
58%4

A YES contract costs 76¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
42%

costs 35¢

YES bid / ask
65¢ / 76¢
NO bid / ask
24¢ / 35¢
24h low 56¢24h high 65¢
Recent buying56% YES · 44% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volSep 1Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask45195¢
  • ask33394¢
  • ask28593¢
  • ask584¢
  • ask581¢
  • ask579¢
  • ask34378¢
  • ask3,06976¢
spread11¢mid 71¢
  • bid3,00565¢
  • bid563¢
  • bid561¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the price of SOL after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026 is ever above $ 115.00, then the market resolves to Yes.

At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF SOLUSD_RTI price for SOL. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 1 · 4:10 AM UTC
closes
Oct 1 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Oct 1 · 3:59 AM UTC
floor
115
ticker
KXSOLMAXMON-SOL-26SEP30-11500
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 44 trades, 56% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
7h ago58¢5bought no
7h ago58¢6.44bought no
10h ago65¢6bought yes
15h ago56¢26bought yes
1d ago62¢53bought yes
1d ago73¢13bought yes
2d ago80¢5bought no
2d ago80¢66bought no
3d ago56¢26bought yes
3d ago16¢29bought no
3d ago20¢47bought yes
3d ago21¢317bought no
4d ago18¢52bought yes
6d ago26¢16bought no
6d ago28¢52bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.