Virgin Galactic Launch·closes in 6mo

When will Virgin Galactic launch next commercial Delta-class SpaceShip ?

YES means Before April 2027

24h volume
0
130 lifetime
Open interest
76
+72 over 90d
Spread
5 × 14 at the touch
24h range
6 recent trades
Chance of YES
67%

A YES contract costs 72¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
33%

costs 34¢

YES bid / ask
66¢ / 72¢
NO bid / ask
28¢ / 34¢
Recent buying32% YES · 68% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volJul 1Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5099¢
  • ask3698¢
  • ask18696¢
  • ask1895¢
  • ask3394¢
  • ask1472¢
spreadmid 69¢
  • bid566¢
  • bid22
  • bid42
  • bid61
  • bid20
  • bid50
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Virgin Galactic launches next commercial Delta-class SpaceShip After issuance and before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

opened
Jul 1 · 2:00 AM UTC
closes
Apr 1, 2027 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 8, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXSPCELAUNCH-COMM-27APR01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 6 trades, 32% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5d ago67¢4.34bought no
1mo ago65¢10bought no
1mo ago66¢5bought no
1mo ago66¢5bought no
1mo ago73¢20bought yes
1mo ago74¢18bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.