Spotify Annual KPI·closes in 19mo

Will Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 820 million total monthly active users in 2026?

YES means Above 820 million

24h volume
0
1,876 lifetime
Open interest
576
+80 over 90d
Spread
5 × 200 at the touch
24h range
8 recent trades
Chance of YES
65%

A YES contract costs 65¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
35%

costs 44¢

YES bid / ask
56¢ / 65¢
NO bid / ask
35¢ / 44¢
Recent buying32% YES · 68% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢volJun 24Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5099¢
  • ask4095¢
  • ask2894¢
  • ask0.0675¢
  • ask20065¢
spreadmid 61¢
  • bid556¢
  • bid20055¢
  • bid35
  • bid50
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Spotify Technology S.A. reports Above 820000000 total monthly active users in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 9 · 10:17 PM UTC
closes
Mar 31, 2028 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 31, 2028 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
820000000
ticker
KXSPOTA-28JANMAU-820000000
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 8 trades, 32% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
9d ago65¢200bought yes
15d ago65¢0.06bought yes
20d ago63¢200bought no
27d ago63¢200bought no
27d ago63¢42bought no
2mo ago71¢0.98bought yes
2mo ago64¢11bought no
2mo ago71¢11bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.