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Spotify Annual KPI·closes in 19mo

Will Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 830 million total monthly active users in 2026?

YES means Above 830 million

24h volume
0
1,194 lifetime
Open interest
144
+0 over 30d
Spread
9¢
200 × 20 at the touch
24h range
–
34 recent trades
Chance of YES
50%

A YES contract costs 54¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
50%

costs 55¢

YES bid / ask
45¢ / 54¢
NO bid / ask
46¢ / 55¢
Recent buying49% YES · 51% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢volAug 24Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5099¢
  • ask6697¢
  • ask4696¢
  • ask2.2875¢
  • ask20055¢
  • ask2054¢
spread9¢mid 50¢
  • bid20045¢
  • bid222¢
  • bid321¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Spotify Technology S.A. reports Above 830000000 total monthly active users in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 9 · 10:17 PM UTC
closes
Mar 31, 2028 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 31, 2028 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
830000000
ticker
KXSPOTA-28JANMAU-830000000
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 34 trades, 49% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1mo ago50¢0.16bought no
1mo ago50¢8.23bought no
1mo ago50¢4.94bought no
1mo ago50¢8.51bought no
1mo ago50¢3.37bought no
1mo ago51¢5bought no
1mo ago51¢4bought no
1mo ago52¢1.62bought no
1mo ago53¢5bought no
1mo ago52¢12bought no
2mo ago53¢5bought no
2mo ago52¢20bought no
2mo ago52¢0.98bought no
2mo ago53¢2.83bought no
2mo ago52¢16bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.