Will any part of Venezuela be the 51st U.S. state before Jan 20, 2029?
YES means Venezuela
- 24h volume
- 126
- 404.8k lifetime
- Open interest
- 103.3k
- +2,535 over 30d
- Spread
- 1¢
- 469 × 300 at the touch
- 24h range
- 2¢ – 3¢
- 50 recent trades
A YES contract costs 3¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 98¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
Order book unavailable.
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the 51st state is any part of Venezuela before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- opened
- Jan 3 · 9:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXSTATE51-29-VE
Other outcomes in this event
Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 13¢).
Recent trades
Over the last 50 trades, 86% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4h ago | 2¢ | 3.63 | bought no |
| 24h ago | 2¢ | 122 | bought no |
| 1d ago | 3¢ | 62 | bought yes |
| 1d ago | 2¢ | 1 | bought no |
| 2d ago | 3¢ | 109 | bought yes |
| 2d ago | 3¢ | 200 | bought yes |
| 2d ago | 2¢ | 161 | bought yes |
| 2d ago | 3¢ | 130 | bought yes |
| 2d ago | 2¢ | 2.5 | bought yes |
| 2d ago | 3¢ | 302 | bought yes |
| 2d ago | 2¢ | 95 | bought yes |
| 2d ago | 2¢ | 9.05 | bought yes |
| 2d ago | 2¢ | 9 | bought yes |
| 2d ago | 2¢ | 9.05 | bought yes |
| 3d ago | 2¢ | 159 | bought no |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.