Hourly Directional Miami Temperature·closed · YES

Will the temp in Miami be above 73.99° on Sep 20, 2026 at 6pm EDT?

YES means 74° or above

24h volume
3,435
3,435 lifetime
Open interest
3,433
+0 over 30d
Spread
100¢
0 × 0 at the touch
24h range
69¢ – 99¢
36 recent trades
Chance of YES
98%

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
2%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
/ 100¢
NO bid / ask
/ 100¢
24h low 69¢24h high 99¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO

This market is closed and resolved YES. Prices shown are the last ones traded.

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volSep 20, 10:00 PMSep 20, 11:00 PM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Empty book.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Sep 20, 2026 at 6 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 73.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.

The official final value for this market is determined strictly by the temperature reported by Synoptic Data, calculated in accordance with the Kalshi Weather Index Methodology. Alternative sources—such as NWS Climatological Reports or Google Weather—may serve as references, but are not authoritative and will not be used for market resolution.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 20 · 9:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 20 · 10:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 20 · 10:05 PM UTC
floor
73.99
ticker
KXTEMPMIAH-26SEP2018-T73.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 36 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5h ago98¢1bought no
5h ago99¢949bought yes
5h ago99¢50bought yes
5h ago99¢1bought yes
5h ago99¢1bought yes
5h ago99¢1,000bought yes
5h ago98¢50bought yes
5h ago99¢200bought yes
5h ago99¢4bought yes
5h ago98¢15bought yes
5h ago99¢17bought yes
5h ago99¢8bought yes
5h ago98¢57bought yes
5h ago98¢4bought yes
5h ago98¢0.09bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.