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Hourly Directional NYC Temperature·closed · NO

Will the temp in New York City be above 68.99° on Sep 21, 2026 at 1am EDT?

YES means 69° or above

24h volume
92
92 lifetime
Open interest
62
Spread
100¢
0 × 0 at the touch
24h range
1¢ – 2¢
7 recent trades
Chance of YES
2%

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
98%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
NO bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
24h low 1¢24h high 2¢
Recent buying51% YES · 49% NO

This market is closed and resolved NO. Prices shown are the last ones traded.

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Empty book.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the temperature recorded at New York City for Sep 21, 2026 at 1 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 68.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.

The official final value for this market is determined strictly by the temperature reported by Synoptic Data, calculated in accordance with the Kalshi Weather Index Methodology. Alternative sources—such as NWS Climatological Reports or Google Weather—may serve as references, but are not authoritative and will not be used for market resolution.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 21 · 4:00 AM UTC
closes
Sep 21 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 21 · 5:05 AM UTC
floor
68.99
ticker
KXTEMPNYCHS-26SEP2101-T68.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 7 trades, 51% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3h ago2¢12bought yes
3h ago2¢35bought yes
3h ago1¢15bought no
3h ago1¢5bought no
3h ago1¢8bought no
3h ago1¢12bought no
3h ago1¢5bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.