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Time Person of the Year 2020s·closes in 41mo

Who will Time name as Person of the Decade?

YES means Sam Altman

24h volume
0
3,867 lifetime
Open interest
2,277
Spread
1¢
26 × 2.92 at the touch
24h range
–
16 recent trades
Chance of YES
13%

A YES contract costs 13¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
87%

costs 88¢

YES bid / ask
12¢ / 13¢
NO bid / ask
87¢ / 88¢
Recent buying48% YES · 52% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask55598¢
  • ask3,14484¢
  • ask45583¢
  • ask35030¢
  • ask30024¢
  • ask27318¢
  • ask25014¢
  • ask2.9213¢
spread1¢mid 13¢
  • bid2612¢
  • bid1498¢
  • bid2507¢
  • bid2857¢
  • bid283¢
  • bid1763¢
  • bid2523¢
  • bid3,6231¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Sam Altman is Time's Person of the Decade for the 2020s, then the market resolves to Yes.

If Time doesn't announce a Person of the Decade before Jan 31, 2030, all markets resolve to No. This market and these products have not been endorsed by TIME. Any references to TIME, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between TIME and Kalshi.

Settlement sources
opened
May 30, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 31, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 31, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXTIMEDECADE20S-30-SALT
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 16 trades, 48% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago13¢1.08bought yes
5d ago12¢25bought no
11d ago12¢1.12bought no
19d ago13¢4bought no
19d ago18¢53bought yes
19d ago13¢32bought yes
19d ago14¢172bought yes
2mo ago8¢5.4bought no
2mo ago9¢32bought no
2mo ago9¢5bought no
2mo ago8¢1.91bought no
2mo ago8¢142bought no
2mo ago9¢19bought no
2mo ago8¢81bought no
2mo ago9¢1.08bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.