Time Person of the Year 2020s·closes in 41mo

Who will Time name as Person of the Decade?

YES means Sam Altman

24h volume
0
3,867 lifetime
Open interest
2,277
−1.08 over 7d
Spread
26 × 2.92 at the touch
24h range
12¢ – 13¢
Chance of YES
13%

A YES contract costs 13¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
87%

costs 88¢

YES bid / ask
12¢ / 13¢
NO bid / ask
87¢ / 88¢
24h low 12¢24h high 13¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

5¢10¢15¢20¢volSep 15Sep 19

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Sam Altman is Time's Person of the Decade for the 2020s, then the market resolves to Yes.

If Time doesn't announce a Person of the Decade before Jan 31, 2030, all markets resolve to No. This market and these products have not been endorsed by TIME. Any references to TIME, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between TIME and Kalshi.

opened
May 30, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 31, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 31, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXTIMEDECADE20S-30-SALT
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.