Will Donald Trump endorse Donald J. Trump Jr. in the 2028 presidential election before Mar 1, 2028?
YES means Donald J. Trump Jr.
- 24h volume
- 51
- 2,255 lifetime
- Open interest
- 1,966
- −22 over 24h
- Spread
- 4¢
- 16 × 76 at the touch
- 24h range
- 1¢ – 5¢
- 34 recent trades
A YES contract costs 5¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 99¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask22551¢
- ask1,29449¢
- ask3037¢
- ask2325¢
- ask63524¢
- ask222¢
- ask2506¢
- ask765¢
- bid161¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Donald Trump publicly endorses Donald J. Trump Jr. in the 2028 presidential election before Mar 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
An "endorsement" requires: A clear, affirmative statement of support for candidate's election The statement must be public (not private communications) The endorsement must specifically reference the 2028 presidential election or be clearly in context of the 2028 presidential election The endorsement must come directly from Donald Trump or through official channels The following scenarios would resolve to YES: Donald Trump states "I endorse candidate for [office]" Donald Trump states "I support candidate" with clear reference to the 2028 presidential election Donald Trump states "I'm voting for candidate" publicly Donald Trump states "candidate has my full support" for the 2028 presidential election Donald Trump appears at campaign events specifically to endorse Donald Trump releases official endorsement through their organization Donald Trump allows their name/image to be used in candidate's campaign materials Statements of obvious sarcasm (or which are immediately followed by clarifications that Donald Trump is joking) are NOT encompassed by the Payout Criterion. The Contract shall resolve immediately upon confirmation of the first qualifying endorsement in the specified race. If multiple candidates are listed for a listed race and exactly one is endorsed, that candidate's strike resolves "Yes" at $1.00 and all other named-candidate strikes resolve "No." If multiple are endorsed, each endorsed candidate's strike resolves "Yes" at a value of ($1.00 / N) rounded down to the nearest $0.01. If no endorsement occurs before expiration, the "No one" strike resolves "Yes" at $1.00 and all named-candidate strikes resolve "No."
- opened
- Jul 27 · 5:30 PM UTC
- closes
- Mar 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Mar 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXTRUMPENDORSE28-28MAR01-DJR
Other outcomes in this event
Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 102¢).
Recent trades
Over the last 34 trades, 76% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7h ago | 5¢ | 0.42 | bought yes |
| 8h ago | 4¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 8h ago | 5¢ | 24 | bought yes |
| 8h ago | 1¢ | 3.88 | bought no |
| 8h ago | 2¢ | 22 | bought no |
| 1d ago | 5¢ | 56 | bought yes |
| 4d ago | 5¢ | 166 | bought yes |
| 4d ago | 5¢ | 22 | bought yes |
| 5d ago | 5¢ | 188 | bought yes |
| 5d ago | 5¢ | 38 | bought yes |
| 14d ago | 9¢ | 52 | bought yes |
| 15d ago | 24¢ | 25 | bought yes |
| 15d ago | 6¢ | 200 | bought yes |
| 22d ago | 6¢ | 156 | bought yes |
| 28d ago | 5¢ | 24 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.