Who will Trump endorse for president?·closes in 18mo

Will Donald Trump endorse Ron DeSantis in the 2028 presidential election before Mar 1, 2028?

YES means Ron DeSantis

24h volume
9.35
1,549 lifetime
Open interest
1,221
Spread
123 × 2.66 at the touch
24h range
31 recent trades
Chance of YES
2%

A YES contract costs and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
98%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
/
NO bid / ask
98¢ / 99¢
Recent buying61% YES · 39% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask23236¢
  • ask1524¢
  • ask94315¢
  • ask10614¢
  • ask9.35
  • ask250
  • ask15
  • ask2.66
spreadmid
  • bid123
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Donald Trump publicly endorses Ron DeSantis in the 2028 presidential election before Mar 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

An "endorsement" requires: A clear, affirmative statement of support for candidate's election The statement must be public (not private communications) The endorsement must specifically reference the 2028 presidential election or be clearly in context of the 2028 presidential election The endorsement must come directly from Donald Trump or through official channels The following scenarios would resolve to YES: Donald Trump states "I endorse candidate for [office]" Donald Trump states "I support candidate" with clear reference to the 2028 presidential election Donald Trump states "I'm voting for candidate" publicly Donald Trump states "candidate has my full support" for the 2028 presidential election Donald Trump appears at campaign events specifically to endorse Donald Trump releases official endorsement through their organization Donald Trump allows their name/image to be used in candidate's campaign materials Statements of obvious sarcasm (or which are immediately followed by clarifications that Donald Trump is joking) are NOT encompassed by the Payout Criterion. The Contract shall resolve immediately upon confirmation of the first qualifying endorsement in the specified race. If multiple candidates are listed for a listed race and exactly one is endorsed, that candidate's strike resolves "Yes" at $1.00 and all other named-candidate strikes resolve "No." If multiple are endorsed, each endorsed candidate's strike resolves "Yes" at a value of ($1.00 / N) rounded down to the nearest $0.01. If no endorsement occurs before expiration, the "No one" strike resolves "Yes" at $1.00 and all named-candidate strikes resolve "No."

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 27 · 5:30 PM UTC
closes
Mar 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Mar 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXTRUMPENDORSE28-28MAR01-RDES
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 102¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 31 trades, 61% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
12m ago9.35bought yes
7d ago140bought yes
9d ago234bought yes
10d ago4.67bought yes
24d ago84bought yes
24d ago103bought yes
1mo ago30bought no
2mo ago29bought no
2mo ago103bought no
2mo ago56bought yes
2mo ago98bought no
2mo ago98bought no
2mo ago25bought no
2mo ago1bought no
2mo ago100bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.