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Tesla KPI·closes in 19mo

Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.5 million total deliveries in 2026?

YES means Above 1.5 million

24h volume
0
7,539 lifetime
Open interest
2,614
Spread
5¢
18 × 0 at the touch
24h range
–
21 recent trades
Chance of YES
93%

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
7%

costs 5¢

YES bid / ask
95¢ / 100¢
NO bid / ask
0¢ / 5¢
Recent buying26% YES · 74% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Tesla Inc. reports Above 1500000.0 total deliveries in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 9 · 10:17 PM UTC
closes
Mar 31, 2028 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 31, 2028 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
1500000
ticker
KXTSLAA-28JANDEL-1500000.0
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 21 trades, 26% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago93¢200bought no
17d ago99¢0.98bought no
20d ago99¢0.02bought no
26d ago96¢117bought no
26d ago97¢200bought yes
26d ago94¢200bought no
26d ago94¢16bought no
26d ago94¢16bought no
28d ago98¢0.02bought yes
29d ago97¢28bought yes
1mo ago98¢19bought yes
1mo ago93¢0.13bought no
1mo ago98¢5.09bought yes
2mo ago95¢1bought no
2mo ago95¢5.04bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.