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Tesla KPI·closes in 19mo

Will Tesla, Inc. report above 130000 total employee headcount worldwide in 2026?

YES means Above 130000

24h volume
0
4,115 lifetime
Open interest
1,011
−287 over 90d
Spread
10¢
200 × 200 at the touch
24h range
–
Chance of YES
84%

A YES contract costs 91¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
16%

costs 19¢

YES bid / ask
81¢ / 91¢
NO bid / ask
9¢ / 19¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
80¢90¢100¢volJun 24Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask20091¢
spread10¢mid 86¢
  • bid20081¢
  • bid18439¢
  • bid26338¢
  • bid84734¢
  • bid80032¢
  • bid70613¢
  • bid464¢
  • bid3,2203¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Tesla, Inc. reports above 130000 total employee headcount worldwide in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market refers to the annual figure reported in Tesla, Inc.'s full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 23 · 10:14 PM UTC
closes
Mar 31, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
floor
130000
ticker
KXTSLAA-28JANHEAD-130000
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.