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Who will be cast in show·closes in 16mo

Will Rudy Pankow be cast in Amazon Prime Video’s television adaptation of Holly Black’s The Folk of the Air series?

YES means Rudy Pankow

24h volume
0
302 lifetime
Open interest
0
Spread
99¢
0 × 200 at the touch
24h range
–
2 recent trades
Chance of YES
5%

A YES contract costs 99¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
95%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 99¢
NO bid / ask
1¢ / 100¢
Recent buying0% YES · 100% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask20099¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Rudy Pankow is cast in Amazon Prime Video’s television adaptation of Holly Black’s The Folk of the Air series before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Aug 19 · 8:52 PM UTC
    closes
    Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
    ticker
    KXTVCAST-FOL28-RPAN
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Outcomes in this event settle independently.

    Recent trades

    Over the last 2 trades, 0% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    29d ago5¢151bought no
    1mo ago2¢151bought no

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.